High Conviction Swing Trading
Few positions. Heavy sizing. Full transparency.
The goal isn’t to trade more - it’s to trade better.
There are no promises of returns. This site documents how I trade, manage risk, and evaluate decisions over time.
Most traders have no idea if they’re actually beating the market. They track trades in random spreadsheets, forget their entry prices, and can’t calculate their real risk-adjusted returns.
I’ve built a structured approach that has consistently outperformed the global index by 10%+ annually - and I’m sharing exactly how I do it.
The problem with most trading education:
Most trading promotes day trading, scalping, and the “trade full-time” mentality - a high-risk approach that is neither realistic nor practical for busy professionals.
Unprofitable traders don’t fail because they lack information. They fail because of unprofitable trading strategies, psychological pitfalls, greed, and lack of discipline.
My approach is different:
High Conviction Swing Trading focuses on probability, structure, risk management, and selectivity - supported by real trades, real data, and public accountability.
📊 Consistent profitability – Outperforming the market
Results matter — but only when they are repeatable, benchmarked, and transparent.
Over the past several years, my Swing Trading portfolios have consistently outperformed the global equity index by 10%+ annually, while operating with defined risk and a structured process.
Performance highlights:
- 📈 Multiple consecutive profitable years
- 🌍 Outperformance vs MSCI ACWI (global index) by 10%+ annually
- 🧩 Results achieved across multiple portfolios (equities, options, crypto)
- 🛠 Same core process applied across different market regimes
Outperformance is measured against a passive global index using the same time periods and capital contributions.
🎯 Trade Like I Do - Get My Free Dashboard
This is the exact Google Sheets template I use to:
✓ Track the public 25 Year Trading Experiment
✓ Manage every active swing trade in real-time
✓ Calculate position sizes and risk automatically
✓ Compare my performance vs. the global index instantly
No complicated formulas. No expensive software. Just the tools I actually use every day.
Want live trade updates instead? → Follow me on X (Trader Gu)
🧪 The long-term 25 Year Trading Experiment (2025–2050)
Since January 2025, I’ve been running a public, long-horizon experiment designed to answer one difficult question:
Can a structured Swing Trading strategy outperform passive investing over decades?
How the experiment works:
- Monthly capital contributions
- Active Swing Trading vs passive global index investing
- Public portfolio updates
- Full visibility into drawdowns, volatility, and mistakes
This isn’t about short-term results. It’s about whether the strategy and process holds up over time.
🧠 The approach behind the results
Process over outcome
Trades are evaluated by execution quality, not P&L alone.
High-timeframe structure
Weekly and monthly context first. Noise reduction is intentional.
Selective participation
I trade infrequently. Most opportunities are ignored.
Risk as a design choice
Position sizing for high risk and selectivity.
Psychology through structure
Rules and tools exist to protect decisions from emotion.
Consistency comes from what you don’t trade just as much as what you do.
🧰 What you’ll find here
- Detailed trade reviews with reasoning and post-analysis
- Market structure and Order Block trading strategy
- Comparisons between equity vs options trading
- Reflections on trading psychology
- Trading tools and public dashboards that enforce discipline
Everything here exists to support high-probability decision-making, not prediction.
🔍 Live trades & full transparency
I share my trades entries, stop-loss and exits live on X, not as trade signals, but to document my decisions in real time.
No hindsight. No edited charts. No cherry-picking.
Every trade is shared live, win or lose.
Transparency isn’t about being right - it’s about being accountable.
These posts exist to show how I think about risk, structure, and execution - not to provide trade recommendations.
→ Follow me on X (Trader Gu) for live trade documentation
👤 Who this is for
- Traders aiming for long-term consistency
- People comfortable with uncertainty and drawdowns or eager to learn the process
- Those who value structure over excitement
- Anyone benchmarking themselves honestly against the market
If you’re looking for shortcuts or guaranteed results, this won’t be a fit.
👋 Ready to get started?
Use the same dashboard I use to manage the 25 Year Trading Experiment and track every active trade.
Or follow my live trades and commentary: → Follow me on X (Trader Gu)
ℹ️ About
I’m Gustav (Trader Gu) — a Swedish engineer and swing trader.
This site is my journal, toolbox, and accountability mechanism. Publishing my process publicly forces clarity, discipline, and intellectual honesty.
⚠️ Disclaimer
Trading involves substantial risk and is not suitable for everyone.
Nothing on this website constitutes financial advice, investment advice, or a recommendation to buy or sell any security.
- Past performance does not guarantee future results
- All examples reflect my personal trading activity
- Markets change, and strategies can fail
- You are responsible for your own decisions and risk management
This site exists to document a process — not to provide predictions or guarantees.
📬 Get in touch
- Twitter/X: Trader Gu